This hands-on course provides a detailed treatment of essential
concepts for performing sound risk analyses. 80+ example files are
provided that demonstrate the techniques covered in the course,
and more. Every user of @RISK who is looking to become proficient
as a practicing risk analyst should attend this course. This course
will deliver the procedures and tools that will help you effectively
control risk. The software used in the course is @RISK Industrial.
Day 1: Effectively Controlling Risk: The Basics
- Overview and a Roadmap for Performing a Risk Analysis
- Measuring Uncertainty: The Range and Shape of Key Uncertain
Variables.
- A step-by-step examination of @RISK using simple examples
Day 2: The Three Key Components for Producing a Sound Risk Analysis
- Selecting a sound distribution:
a) The basics
b) Fitting distributions to data
c) Fitting distributions to expert opinion
- Modeling correlation (interdependence) between uncertain variables
- Modeling uncertainty over time: sound ad hoc methods
- Demonstration of the components within example models
Day 3: Building @RISK Models and Optimizing the Decision Variables
- Building @RISK models step-by-step with example problems
- Performing risk analysis with the models we build
- Testing mitigation alternatives
- Making a decision
- Extending @RISK models: Finding the best values for decision
cells in the models using RISKOptimizer.
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